UD Alzira 1-2 UE Olot — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Alzira EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY UE Olot EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.95/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.30
-9% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Alzira
1W-1D-1L
AWAY UE Olot
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 UE Olot UE Olot 3-3 HT 1-1 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
09.04.2023 UE Olot UE Olot 3-1 HT 0-0 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
26.11.2022 UD Alzira UD Alzira 2-1 HT 1-0 UE Olot UE Olot İS4
POST-MATCH UD Alzira vs UE Olot
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UE Olot nicked a narrow win over UD Alzira 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; UE Olot found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for UD Alzira and 2.33 for UE Olot.

What was the final score of UD Alzira vs UE Olot?

UD Alzira 1-2 UE Olot in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Alzira vs UE Olot?

Before kick-off our model rated an UE Olot win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split UD Alzira 33%, draw 32%, UE Olot 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UE Olot) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UE Olot) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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