23/03/2025
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Vicenza vs Caldiero Terme Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.14
— our 26% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Vicenza win — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
73%
21%
Draw
18%
14%
Away Win
10%
47%
Under 2.5
46%
53%
Over 2.5
54%
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
56%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vicenza v Caldiero Terme — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vicenza
EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY
Caldiero Terme
EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% /
+15%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-3% /
-3%
1.91/0.47
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.42/1.58
+4%
/
+58%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-45%
/
+9%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
16
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
429 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
272 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.5
Yellow Cards
1.3
Vicenza vs Caldiero Terme Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Vicenza
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Caldiero Terme
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
47%
Ball Possession
53%
8
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
6
6
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
Vicenza 2-1 Caldiero Terme — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Vicenza
2-1
AWAY
Caldiero Terme
53%
Ball Possession
47%
16
Total Shots
4
8
Shots on Target
1
6
Corners
0
2
Yellow Cards
0
POST-MATCH
Vicenza vs Caldiero Terme
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vicenza edged past Caldiero Terme 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vicenza had 53% of the ball to Caldiero Terme's 47%, shots finished 16-4.
What was the final score of Vicenza vs Caldiero Terme?
Vicenza 2-1 Caldiero Terme in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Caldiero Terme?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 65%, draw 21%, Caldiero Terme 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Vicenza)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İTC
More Italy - Serie C
23 Mar 2025