Como (K) 2-2 Sampdoria (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.8pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.9pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.65/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.35
+14% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.8
26.9 Crosses 12.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como (K)
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
305 Passes 236
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
28.09.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
01.05.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
23.03.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
14.01.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
07.10.2023 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
2-2
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
2.32 xG 1.11
69% Ball Possession 31%
25 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 1
399 Passes 142
79% Pass Accuracy 57%
41 Box Touches 13
40 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs Sampdoria (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como (K) and Sampdoria (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Como (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Como (K) had 69% of the ball to Sampdoria (K)'s 31%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 2.32 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Como (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Como (K) and 1.00 for Sampdoria (K).

What was the final score of Como (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Como (K) 2-2 Sampdoria (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 50%, draw 29%, Sampdoria (K) 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Como (K)) ✗ BTTS No
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