Shabab Al Ahli 2-2 Al Sharjah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
1.62/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.71
-24% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
21.7 Crosses 11.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Al Ahli
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Al Sharjah
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.84 xG 1.06
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
365 Passes 234
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.03.2025 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 1-3 HT 1-3 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
12.03.2025 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 1-1 HT 1-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli AFCŞL2
05.03.2025 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah AFCŞL2
03.04.2024 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 3-4 HT 1-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAECK
29.12.2023 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 6-2 HT 3-2 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAESK
16.01.2022 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 0-0 HT 0-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAECK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shabab Al Ahli
2-2
AWAY Al Sharjah
2.15 xG 1.91
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
347 Passes 220
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Ahli vs Al Sharjah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Ahli and Al Sharjah shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shabab Al Ahli at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Shabab Al Ahli had 56% of the ball to Al Sharjah's 44%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 2.15 to 1.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shabab Al Ahli had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Shabab Al Ahli and 1.33 for Al Sharjah.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Ahli vs Al Sharjah?

Shabab Al Ahli 2-2 Al Sharjah in the UAE - League Cup on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Ahli vs Al Sharjah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shabab Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Ahli 46%, draw 23%, Al Sharjah 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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