Portimonense U23 1-1 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 23 Mar 2026

📅23/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.16/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/2.09
-24% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Estoril U23
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2026 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-2 HT 0-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
17.11.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
21.10.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 2-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
10.12.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 3-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
22.09.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 3-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
1-1
AWAY Estoril U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 and Estoril U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 51% of the ball to Estoril U23's 49%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Portimonense U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Portimonense U23 and 1.00 for Estoril U23.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Estoril U23?

Portimonense U23 1-1 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 35%, draw 25%, Estoril U23 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →