Athletic Bilbao vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Athletic Bilbao v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals
Athletic Bilbao vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Las Palmas
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Las Palmas
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
5-1
HT 3-1
Las Palmas
İS1
Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao nicked a narrow win over Las Palmas 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 49% of the ball to Las Palmas's 51%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.11 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 0.67 for Las Palmas.
What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Las Palmas?
Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Las Palmas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 57%, draw 24%, Las Palmas 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.