SJK Seinajoki 3-1 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
13%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.22
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
15%
4.42
X/2
10%
9.5
X/X
10%
5.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.85
2/2
14%
7.21
2/X
6%
15.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -25%
1.68/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/2.07
-16% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
27.0 Crosses 15.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Oulu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.61 xG 1.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
398 Passes 399
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.02.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FLK
08.07.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-2 HT 1-2 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
03.07.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİK
06.04.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
03.02.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-2 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
25.10.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-2 HT 2-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
3-1
AWAY Oulu
2.37 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
347 Passes 275
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki saw off Oulu 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had SJK Seinajoki as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 54% of the ball to Oulu's 46%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.37 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 1.17 for Oulu.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs Oulu?

SJK Seinajoki 3-1 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 47%, draw 23%, Oulu 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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