FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 23 Apr 2026

FC Nordsjaelland
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
AGF Aarhus
📅23/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2025/2026

FC Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
2.2
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.28
Over Pick
64%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.45
No
37%
2.54
Total Goals
0-1
17%
4.81
2-3
42%
1.91
4-5
30%
2.67
6+
11%
6.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.04
1/2
3%
22.25
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
11%
6.62
X/2
13%
5.51
X/X
14%
5.66
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
26%
3.04
2/X
5%
12.2
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

FC Nordsjaelland v AGF Aarhus — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME FC Nordsjaelland The Market 38%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus The Market 45%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.74 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.87
1.49 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.18
Strong Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Great
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
33 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2

FC Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
2W-1D-3L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 1.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
475 Passes 411
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.04.2026 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
24.10.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
28.09.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-2 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
16.05.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
30.03.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
22.11.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN

FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 AGF Aarhus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
1 - 1
AWAY AGF Aarhus
2.45 xG 1.13
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
501 Passes 345
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
35 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW FC Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left FC Nordsjaelland and AGF Aarhus with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned AGF Aarhus at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals card split: both teams to score (63%) came in, over 2.5 goals (64%) didn't.

By the numbers, FC Nordsjaelland had 58% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 42%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.45 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.00 for AGF Aarhus.

FC Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus Result & Final Score

FC Nordsjaelland 1 - 1 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

FC Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 33%, draw 25%, AGF Aarhus 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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