PSV Eindhoven 6-1 PEC Zwolle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
78%
1.3
Draw
12%
5.28
Away
10%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
30%
1.0
Over
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.4
No
35%
2.71
Total Goals
0-1
13%
10.15
2-3
42%
2.57
4-5
33%
2.21
6+
12%
3.0
Value flag · 2-3 at 2.57 — our 42% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
53%
1.46
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
3%
17.75
X/1
21%
4.39
X/2
4%
17.55
X/X
7%
10.7
2/1
3%
15.6
2/2
5%
12.0
2/X
3%
20.4
Value flag · X/1 at 4.39 — our 21% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME PSV Eindhoven The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle The Market 16%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
3.06 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
1.08 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.46
Great Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
42 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
5W-0D-1L
AWAY PEC Zwolle
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.62 xG 0.65
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
517 Passes 248
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
48 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2025 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-4 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
18.01.2025 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 3-1 HT 2-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
26.10.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 6-0 HT 2-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
24.02.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-7 HT 1-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
12.11.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-0 HT 2-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
15.05.2022 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-2 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
6 - 1
AWAY PEC Zwolle
1.88 xG 0.83
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
634 Passes 272
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSV Eindhoven dismantled PEC Zwolle 6-1. Half-time: 1-0. With 7 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

True to our pre-match read, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (65%) landed.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 67% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 33%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.88 to 0.83.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 0.83 for PEC Zwolle.

PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle Result & Final Score

PSV Eindhoven 6 - 1 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 78%, draw 12%, PEC Zwolle 10%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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