Super Nova 1-2 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
56%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
56%
Away Win
53%
+2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 57%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
1.27/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.43
-14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 82%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.9
17.0 Crosses 24.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Super Nova
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Liepaja
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.26 xG 2.29
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
222 Passes 400
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 37
18 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 3-0 HT 2-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
25.08.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
17.06.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-3 HT 0-3 Liepaja Liepaja LET
25.04.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 2-2 HT 2-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
11.11.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 2-0 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
28.08.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-2 HT 0-2 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Super Nova
1-2
AWAY Liepaja
0.62 xG 2.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
198 Passes 283
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 34
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Super Nova vs Liepaja
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Liepaja edged past Super Nova 2-1 away from home in the Latvia - Virsliga on 23 Apr 2026. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Super Nova had 45% of the ball to Liepaja's 55%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.62 to 2.51.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Super Nova and 1.50 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of Super Nova vs Liepaja?

Super Nova 1-2 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 21%, draw 23%, Liepaja 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liepaja) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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