Super Nova 3-0 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
59%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
25%
-5.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
59%
Away Win
51%
+8.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 55%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.15/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.15
-37% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
20.0 Crosses 21.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Super Nova
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Liepaja
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.01 xG 2.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
245 Passes 348
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 36
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
17.06.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-3 HT 0-3 Liepaja Liepaja LET
25.04.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 2-2 HT 2-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
11.11.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 2-0 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
28.08.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-2 HT 0-2 Liepaja Liepaja LET
09.06.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 2-1 HT 2-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Super Nova
3-0
AWAY Liepaja
2.11 xG 1.39
24% Ball Possession 76%
13 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
103 Passes 537
55% Pass Accuracy 89%
27 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Super Nova vs Liepaja
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Super Nova ran out comfortable winners over Liepaja 3-0 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 9 Nov 2025. Half-time: 2-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Super Nova had 24% of the ball to Liepaja's 76%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 2.11 to 1.39.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Super Nova and 1.83 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of Super Nova vs Liepaja?

Super Nova 3-0 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 19%, draw 22%, Liepaja 59%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Liepaja), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liepaja) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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