Metta / LU Riga 3-1 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -15%
1.40/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.26
+15% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
17.5 Crosses 18.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
1W-2D-3L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.19 xG 1.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
340 Passes 297
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 28
25 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 4-2 HT 1-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
17.06.2025 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 2-2 HT 1-2 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
25.04.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 2-0 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
27.09.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-1 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
07.07.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 3-2 HT 2-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
16.05.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 4-0 HT 3-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
3-1
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
2.41 xG 1.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
270 Passes 330
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Metta / LU Riga vs BFC Daugavpils
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Metta / LU Riga beat BFC Daugavpils 3-1 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 9 Nov 2025. Half-time: 2-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 46% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 54%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.41 to 1.47.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 2.50 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?

Metta / LU Riga 3-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 38%, draw 22%, BFC Daugavpils 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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