BFC Daugavpils vs Metta / LU Riga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v Metta / LU Riga — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Metta / LU Riga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
BFC Daugavpils 4-2 Metta / LU Riga — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils got the better of Metta / LU Riga 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had BFC Daugavpils as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 63% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 37%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.49 to 1.03.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.00 for Metta / LU Riga.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Metta / LU Riga?
BFC Daugavpils 4-2 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Metta / LU Riga?
Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 55%, draw 25%, Metta / LU Riga 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Daugavpils), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.