FK Tukums 2000 1-1 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 50%
+10% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.08/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.00
+5% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
15.3 Crosses 19.7
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1W-4D-1L
AWAY FS Jelgava
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
272 Passes 236
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-1 HT 1-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
17.06.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
23.04.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
15.09.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 3-3 HT 3-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
26.06.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
07.05.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-1 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1-1
AWAY FS Jelgava
1.49 xG 0.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
327 Passes 302
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 and FS Jelgava couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FS Jelgava at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 50% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 50%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.49 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.33 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs FS Jelgava?

FK Tukums 2000 1-1 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated an FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 32%, draw 25%, FS Jelgava 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FS Jelgava), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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