Spartak Moskova 1-2 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
12%
5.46
X/2
11%
6.23
X/X
12%
5.07
2/1
6%
24.35
2/2
18%
4.01
2/X
6%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 6% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.64/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.20
+40% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
17.0 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Krasnodar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.77 xG 1.52
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 Passes 288
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
30.01.2025 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-2 HT 1-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar HAZ
01.12.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-3 HT 0-2 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
19.10.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-3 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
11.05.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-0 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
01.11.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-3 HT 2-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
1-2
AWAY Krasnodar
1.60 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
254 Passes 300
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
45 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Spartak Moskova vs Krasnodar
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Krasnodar edged past Spartak Moskova 2-1 away from home in the Russia - Premier League on 23 Apr 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 48% of the ball to Krasnodar's 52%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.60 to 1.54.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Spartak Moskova and 1.67 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Krasnodar?

Spartak Moskova 1-2 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 41%, draw 24%, Krasnodar 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartak Moskova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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