Melbourne Knights 0-2 South Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY South Melbourne EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
1.68/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.85
+5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +80%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.7 Crosses 18.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Knights
1W-0D-5L
AWAY South Melbourne
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
184 Passes 247
61% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.02.2025 South Melbourne South Melbourne 3-1 HT 2-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
17.05.2024 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
08.02.2024 South Melbourne South Melbourne 1-0 HT 1-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
02.06.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-2 HT 0-1 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
06.03.2023 South Melbourne South Melbourne 2-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
03.06.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-1 HT 1-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Melbourne Knights vs South Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Melbourne got the better of Melbourne Knights 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day South Melbourne made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Melbourne led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Melbourne Knights and 1.67 for South Melbourne.

What was the final score of Melbourne Knights vs South Melbourne?

Melbourne Knights 0-2 South Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Knights vs South Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Knights 38%, draw 27%, South Melbourne 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✗ BTTS Yes
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