Port Melbourne 0-1 Avondale Heights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
57%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
7%
+16.0pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.7pp
57%
Away Win
79%
-21.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 84%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -23%
1.09/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/1.22
+10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -22%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
216 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Melbourne
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Avondale Heights
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.39 xG 0.56
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
221 Passes 464
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 4-1 HT 2-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
18.08.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 0-4 HT 0-2 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
11.05.2024 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 5-1 HT 2-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
20.05.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 1-0 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
18.02.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-2 HT 1-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
26.07.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 1-2 HT 0-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Port Melbourne vs Avondale Heights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights edged past Port Melbourne 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avondale Heights as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Port Melbourne and 2.83 for Avondale Heights.

What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Avondale Heights?

Port Melbourne 0-1 Avondale Heights in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Avondale Heights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 23%, draw 20%, Avondale Heights 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avondale Heights), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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