CD Guadalajara 2-2 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.57
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
8%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 55%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.05/2.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.83
+6% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Real Madrid II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
27% Ball Possession 73%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 3-1 HT 1-1 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS3
24.02.2013 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-1 HT 1-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS2
22.09.2012 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 3-4 HT 1-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
2-2
AWAY Real Madrid II
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara and Real Madrid II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Real Madrid II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 32% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 68%, shots finished 5-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Madrid II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CD Guadalajara and 3.00 for Real Madrid II.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Real Madrid II?

CD Guadalajara 2-2 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 28%, draw 24%, Real Madrid II 48%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Madrid II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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