Atletico Madrid II 3-1 Algeciras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Algeciras EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.38/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.34
+6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Algeciras
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2025 Algeciras Algeciras 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
30.03.2025 Algeciras Algeciras 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
11.01.2025 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 1-1 HT 1-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
28.04.2024 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 3-1 HT 3-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
26.11.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 2-2 HT 1-2 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
3-1
AWAY Algeciras
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Algeciras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II beat Algeciras 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 60% of the ball to Algeciras's 40%, shots finished 18-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Algeciras led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Atletico Madrid II and 1.20 for Algeciras.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Algeciras?

Atletico Madrid II 3-1 Algeciras in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Algeciras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 42%, draw 27%, Algeciras 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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