Ponferradina vs Athletic Bilbao II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponferradina v Athletic Bilbao II — Team-Based Signals
Ponferradina vs Athletic Bilbao II Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
4-2
HT 2-1
Ponferradina
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao II
İS2
Ponferradina 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II — Actual Match Statistics
Ponferradina nicked a narrow win over Athletic Bilbao II 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ponferradina as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Ponferradina had 52% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 48%, shots finished 11-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ponferradina and 1.00 for Athletic Bilbao II.
What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Athletic Bilbao II?
Ponferradina 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Athletic Bilbao II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 63%, draw 21%, Athletic Bilbao II 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.