Pontevedra 2-2 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.9
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.9pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.44/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/2.09
-9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% / -33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Aviles
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2026 Real Aviles Real Aviles 0-3 HT 0-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS3
16.03.2025 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-0 HT 1-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
03.11.2024 Pontevedra Pontevedra 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
10.03.2024 Pontevedra Pontevedra 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
29.10.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-1 HT 1-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
10.04.2022 Pontevedra Pontevedra 3-2 HT 1-2 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
2-2
AWAY Real Aviles
69% Ball Possession 31%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra and Real Aviles couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pontevedra at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pontevedra had 69% of the ball to Real Aviles's 31%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pontevedra had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pontevedra and 0.83 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Real Aviles?

Pontevedra 2-2 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 50%, draw 25%, Real Aviles 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pontevedra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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