Pontevedra 1-1 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.56
Over 2.5
52%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
60%
-12.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
40%
+12.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.7pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.13/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.44
+27% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Aviles
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Pontevedra Pontevedra 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
29.10.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-1 HT 1-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
10.04.2022 Pontevedra Pontevedra 3-2 HT 1-2 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
21.11.2021 Real Aviles Real Aviles 0-3 HT 0-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
1-1
AWAY Real Aviles
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra and Real Aviles shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Pontevedra carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Pontevedra had 68% of the ball to Real Aviles's 32%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pontevedra had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Pontevedra and 0.75 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Real Aviles?

Pontevedra 1-1 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 59%, draw 24%, Real Aviles 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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