Real Aviles 1-0 Pontevedra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-2.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.6pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 51%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.87
+6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Aviles
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Pontevedra
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Pontevedra Pontevedra 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
10.03.2024 Pontevedra Pontevedra 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
29.10.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-1 HT 1-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
10.04.2022 Pontevedra Pontevedra 3-2 HT 1-2 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
21.11.2021 Real Aviles Real Aviles 0-3 HT 0-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Aviles
1-0
AWAY Pontevedra
35% Ball Possession 65%
2 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs Pontevedra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles edged past Pontevedra 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pontevedra at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Real Aviles had 35% of the ball to Pontevedra's 65%, shots finished 2-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pontevedra led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Real Aviles and 2.00 for Pontevedra.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs Pontevedra?

Real Aviles 1-0 Pontevedra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs Pontevedra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 24%, draw 31%, Pontevedra 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pontevedra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
16 Mar 2025
13:30 Cornella vs Mallorca II Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs Xerez Deportivo Analysis →
13:30 Illescas vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
14:00 Conquense vs Melilla Analysis →
14:00 Real Madrid III vs Cacereno Analysis →
14:00 Rayo Majadahonda vs CD Guadalajara Analysis →