Unionistas 3-2 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unionistas EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -23%
1.57/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.22
+13% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unionistas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2025 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 2-1 HT 1-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
07.05.2023 Unionistas Unionistas 1-1 HT 1-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
06.11.2022 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-1 HT 0-1 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
07.05.2022 Unionistas Unionistas 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
28.08.2021 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-1 HT 0-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
28.03.2021 Unionistas Unionistas 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
POST-MATCH Unionistas vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unionistas edged past Racing Ferrol 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Unionistas as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Unionistas and 0.83 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of Unionistas vs Racing Ferrol?

Unionistas 3-2 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unionistas vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Unionistas win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Unionistas 48%, draw 23%, Racing Ferrol 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Unionistas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Unionistas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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