Fremantle City 4-3 Perth Glory II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.35
No
36%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
70%
-5.9pp
36%
BTTS No
30%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremantle City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory II EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.74/3.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.65
+14% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
299 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremantle City
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Perth Glory II
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
14.06.2025 Fremantle City Fremantle City 1-2 HT 1-1 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
15.03.2025 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 5-0 HT 1-0 Fremantle City Fremantle City AVNPL
27.07.2024 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 0-1 HT 0-0 Fremantle City Fremantle City AVNPL
04.05.2024 Fremantle City Fremantle City 2-1 HT 1-1 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
03.02.2024 Fremantle City Fremantle City 2-1 HT 1-1 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II BAGS
POST-MATCH Fremantle City vs Perth Glory II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremantle City edged past Perth Glory II 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Fremantle City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fremantle City had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Fremantle City and 1.80 for Perth Glory II.

What was the final score of Fremantle City vs Perth Glory II?

Fremantle City 4-3 Perth Glory II in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremantle City vs Perth Glory II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fremantle City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fremantle City 38%, draw 24%, Perth Glory II 38%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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