Perth Glory II 0-1 Fremantle City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.8
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
4.0
Over 2.5
68%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.28
No
33%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
27%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
32%
-8.3pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.4pp
48%
Away Win
48%
-0.0pp
32%
Under 2.5
22%
+10.8pp
68%
Over 2.5
78%
-10.8pp
67%
BTTS Yes
74%
-7.5pp
33%
BTTS No
26%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremantle City EU Bookmakers 52%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+48% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Fremantle City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
04.05.2024 Fremantle City Fremantle City 2-1 HT 1-1 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
03.02.2024 Fremantle City Fremantle City 2-1 HT 1-1 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II BAGS
POST-MATCH Perth Glory II vs Fremantle City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremantle City squeezed past Perth Glory II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fremantle City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (67%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fremantle City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Perth Glory II and 2.00 for Fremantle City.

What was the final score of Perth Glory II vs Fremantle City?

Perth Glory II 0-1 Fremantle City in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory II vs Fremantle City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fremantle City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory II 23%, draw 29%, Fremantle City 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fremantle City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fremantle City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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