HNK Cibalia 3-2 Orijent 1919 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Orijent 1919 EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.62/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.64
+14% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Orijent 1919
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2026 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 2-3 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
20.09.2025 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 0-2 HT 0-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
06.04.2025 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 2-2 HT 1-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
23.11.2024 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 2-1 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
14.09.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-1 HT 0-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
21.04.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-1 HT 1-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
3-2
AWAY Orijent 1919
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Orijent 1919
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia nicked a narrow win over Orijent 1919 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had HNK Cibalia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 53% of the ball to Orijent 1919's 47%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orijent 1919 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for HNK Cibalia and 1.67 for Orijent 1919.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Orijent 1919?

HNK Cibalia 3-2 Orijent 1919 in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Orijent 1919?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 45%, draw 26%, Orijent 1919 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Cibalia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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