Katwijk vs Jong Sparta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Katwijk v Jong Sparta — Team-Based Signals
Katwijk vs Jong Sparta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Katwijk
HOLTW
2-1
HT 1-1
Jong Sparta
HOLTW
Katwijk 4-1 Jong Sparta — Actual Match Statistics
Katwijk cruised past Jong Sparta 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Katwijk as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (66%) came in.
On the day, Katwijk had 55% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 45%, shots finished 16-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Katwijk and 2.00 for Jong Sparta.
What was the final score of Katwijk vs Jong Sparta?
Katwijk 4-1 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Katwijk vs Jong Sparta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 57%, draw 17%, Jong Sparta 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katwijk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.