Koninklijke HFC 3-2 SV Spakenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.4pp
53%
Away Win
62%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.6pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 66%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.91/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/1.41
-38% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koninklijke HFC
1W-1D-3L
AWAY SV Spakenburg
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
156 Passes 259
56% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 3-2 HT 2-1 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
08.03.2025 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 3-1 HT 1-1 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
05.10.2024 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 0-0 HT 0-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
27.01.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 2-1 HT 2-1 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
18.03.2017 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koninklijke HFC
3-2
AWAY SV Spakenburg
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Koninklijke HFC vs SV Spakenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koninklijke HFC nicked a narrow win over SV Spakenburg 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was SV Spakenburg at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Koninklijke HFC had 46% of the ball to SV Spakenburg's 54%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, SV Spakenburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Koninklijke HFC and 1.80 for SV Spakenburg.

What was the final score of Koninklijke HFC vs SV Spakenburg?

Koninklijke HFC 3-2 SV Spakenburg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koninklijke HFC vs SV Spakenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Koninklijke HFC 25%, draw 23%, SV Spakenburg 53%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SV Spakenburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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