SV Spakenburg 3-2 Koninklijke HFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+2.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.59/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.82
+43% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Spakenburg
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
259 Passes 156
69% Pass Accuracy 56%
18 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 3-1 HT 1-1 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
05.10.2024 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 0-0 HT 0-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
27.01.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 2-1 HT 2-1 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
18.03.2017 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Spakenburg
3-2
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs Koninklijke HFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg squeezed past Koninklijke HFC 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, SV Spakenburg had 57% of the ball to Koninklijke HFC's 43%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, SV Spakenburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SV Spakenburg and 1.00 for Koninklijke HFC.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs Koninklijke HFC?

SV Spakenburg 3-2 Koninklijke HFC in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs Koninklijke HFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 56%, draw 21%, Koninklijke HFC 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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