Kashiwa Reysol 4-2 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 23 May 2026

Kashiwa Reysol
4-2 HT 2-1
JEF United
📅23/05/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2026

Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 28% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kashiwa Reysol v JEF United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -21%
1.78/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.43
-13% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
15.6 Crosses 18.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1W-3D-2L
AWAY JEF United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.83 xG 1.35
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
517 Passes 222
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
50 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
07.03.2026 JEF United JEF United 2-1 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
18.02.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United HAZ
20.10.2019 JEF United JEF United 0-3 HT 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP2
15.08.2009 JEF United JEF United 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
29.03.2009 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
14.03.2009 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP

Kashiwa Reysol 4-2 JEF United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
4-2
AWAY JEF United
2.81 xG 0.86
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
540 Passes 367
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol beat JEF United 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 58% of the ball to JEF United's 42%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.81 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.00 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United?

Kashiwa Reysol 4-2 JEF United in the Japan - J1 League on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 55%, draw 24%, JEF United 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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