Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Nagoya Grampus — Team-Based Signals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-2 Nagoya Grampus — Actual Match Statistics
Sanfrecce Hiroshima got the better of Nagoya Grampus 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 38% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 62%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.91 to 1.96.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.67 for Nagoya Grampus.
What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-2 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 52%, draw 22%, Nagoya Grampus 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.