Nagoya Grampus 2-4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 27 Aug 2025

📅27/08/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.69
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 50%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.18/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.35
+47% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 1.15
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
214 Passes 396
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.06.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 HT 0-2 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
20.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-1 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
08.09.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
04.09.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
17.08.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
06.05.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-3 HT 1-2 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
2-4
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
42% Ball Possession 58%
3 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima saw off Nagoya Grampus 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sanfrecce Hiroshima found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 42% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 58%, shots finished 3-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.33 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Nagoya Grampus 2-4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 27/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 34%, draw 26%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 40%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✗ Under 2.5
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