Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Nagoya Grampus — Team-Based Signals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-0
Nagoya Grampus
JAP
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 Nagoya Grampus — Actual Match Statistics
Nagoya Grampus squeezed past Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 63% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 37%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 0.99 to 1.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.50 for Nagoya Grampus.
What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47%, draw 26%, Nagoya Grampus 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.