Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.68
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 26% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.97
1/2
11%
30.5
1/X
10%
12.65
X/1
11%
5.2
X/2
15%
7.0
X/X
9%
5.22
2/1
6%
23.3
2/2
11%
4.7
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 33%
-15% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -15%
1.42/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.54
-6% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -28%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
17.6 Crosses 18.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.51 xG 2.15
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
283 Passes 441
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.03.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
30.11.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-3 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
13.04.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 HT 1-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
02.07.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 HT 2-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
15.04.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
07.09.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1-1
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
0.97 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 Passes 334
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare and Yokohama F. Marinos shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 46% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 54%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.97 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 2.33 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 38%, draw 25%, Yokohama F. Marinos 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shonan Bellmare), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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