Shimizu S-Pulse 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 28 Jun 2025

Shimizu S-Pulse
0-2 HT 0-2
Kashiwa Reysol
📅28/06/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 27% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.21
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
11%
6.08
X/2
18%
5.41
X/X
9%
4.65
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
14%
3.51
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shimizu S-Pulse v Kashiwa Reysol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.36/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.07
+10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
16.5 Crosses 15.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.14 xG 0.95
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
327 Passes 404
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
20.08.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
29.05.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3-1 HT 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
16.10.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
21.03.2021 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 HT 0-2 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
31.10.2020 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP

Shimizu S-Pulse 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
0-2
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
2.64 xG 2.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 Passes 396
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol got the better of Shimizu S-Pulse 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Kashiwa Reysol made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 47% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 53%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 2.64 to 2.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.17 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Shimizu S-Pulse 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 33%, draw 28%, Kashiwa Reysol 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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