Kashima Antlers 1-0 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 34% vs market 30.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 43%
+24% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.11/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.92
+39% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
16.4 Crosses 16.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.11 xG 1.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
284 Passes 359
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.02.2026 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-1 HT 1-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
10.08.2025 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
01.03.2025 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
20.07.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
07.04.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
16.07.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-3 HT 1-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
1-0
AWAY FC Tokyo
0.64 xG 1.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
366 Passes 384
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers edged past FC Tokyo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Kashima Antlers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 50% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 50%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.64 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kashima Antlers and 0.83 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs FC Tokyo?

Kashima Antlers 1-0 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 34%, draw 28%, FC Tokyo 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Tokyo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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