Jeju United 3-2 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 23 Jul 2025

📅23/07/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
4.87
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.32
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.95
X/1
9%
6.6
X/2
17%
4.71
X/X
11%
4.06
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
16%
3.19
2/X
9%
14.25
Value flag · 1/X at 14.95 — our 9% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 46%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.17/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.84
+1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses 21.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Seoul
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
365 Passes 438
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2025 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-3 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
15.02.2025 Jeju United Jeju United 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
16.08.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
06.07.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 3-2 HT 2-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
16.03.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-0 HT 2-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
11.11.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
3-2
AWAY FC Seoul
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
377 Passes 386
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United edged past FC Seoul 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Jeju United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jeju United had 50% of the ball to FC Seoul's 50%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeju United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jeju United and 1.00 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs FC Seoul?

Jeju United 3-2 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 31%, draw 30%, FC Seoul 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Seoul), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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