Ulsan Hyundai 1-2 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 23 Jul 2025

📅23/07/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 27% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.51
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
20%
4.65
X/2
9%
8.23
X/X
14%
5.22
2/1
9%
22.9
2/2
11%
6.06
2/X
7%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +24%
1.61/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.23
-2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.7 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
341 Passes 258
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-3 HT 2-2 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
23.02.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
27.09.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
25.05.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 4-1 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
02.04.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
16.09.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
1-2
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
336 Passes 280
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen edged past Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ulsan Hyundai at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 53% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 47%, shots finished 13-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.17 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Daejeon Citizen?

Ulsan Hyundai 1-2 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 46%, draw 26%, Daejeon Citizen 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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