Colorado Rapids 1-0 San Diego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.17
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.59
6+ Goals
13%
6.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.47
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
10%
4.98
X/2
10%
7.99
X/X
9%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.0
2/2
14%
5.13
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.9pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY San Diego EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.60/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.01
-6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.2 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
1W-0D-1L
AWAY San Diego
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.47 xG 2.10
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
282 Passes 505
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2025 San Diego 2-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
13.04.2025 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 3-2 HT 1-0 San Diego ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
1-0
AWAY San Diego
0.41 xG 1.16
9 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
410 Passes 370
19 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs San Diego
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids squeezed past San Diego 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Colorado Rapids as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.41 to 1.16 — the balance of chances actually favoured San Diego.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Colorado Rapids and 2.00 for San Diego.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs San Diego?

Colorado Rapids 1-0 San Diego in the USA - Major League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs San Diego?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 49%, draw 22%, San Diego 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Rapids) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Rapids) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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