Houston Dynamo 1-1 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Jul 2026

Houston Dynamo
1-1 HT 1-0
DC United
📅23/07/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2026

Houston Dynamo vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 28% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.27
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
16%
4.43
X/2
8%
8.98
X/X
11%
5.21
2/1
7%
22.25
2/2
10%
6.78
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Houston Dynamo v DC United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.67/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.62
-23% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.2 Crosses 16.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Houston Dynamo vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY DC United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.67 xG 1.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
294 Passes 319
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.06.2024 DC United DC United 1-4 HT 1-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
08.05.2022 DC United DC United 2-0 HT 2-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
19.05.2019 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-1 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
17.03.2018 DC United DC United 2-2 HT 0-2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
23.07.2017 DC United DC United 1-3 HT 0-3 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
19.06.2016 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD

Houston Dynamo 1-1 DC United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
1-1
AWAY DC United
1.20 xG 0.86
20 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
487 Passes 258
33 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo and DC United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Houston Dynamo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.20 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Houston Dynamo and 1.17 for DC United.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs DC United?

Houston Dynamo 1-1 DC United in the USA - Major League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 49%, draw 26%, DC United 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Houston Dynamo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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