Portland Hearts of Pine 1-2 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.9pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.12/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.12
-6% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 81%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
16.2 Crosses 20.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Union Omaha
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.71 xG 1.92
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
205 Passes 404
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2026 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-2 HT 0-2 Portland Hearts of Pine USL1
01.10.2025 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-0 HT 0-0 Portland Hearts of Pine USL1
16.06.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine 3-1 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
11.05.2025 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-2 HT 0-1 Portland Hearts of Pine USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine
1-2
AWAY Union Omaha
1.03 xG 1.60
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
282 Passes 332
19 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha edged past Portland Hearts of Pine 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.03 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Portland Hearts of Pine and 1.50 for Union Omaha.

What was the final score of Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha?

Portland Hearts of Pine 1-2 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Portland Hearts of Pine 34%, draw 23%, Union Omaha 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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