Aubagne 2-1 Rouen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
49%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.97
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
5.02
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
12%
6.17
X/2
12%
4.52
X/X
17%
3.88
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
29%
3.25
2/X
4%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
30%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
49%
Away Win
41%
+7.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.8pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubagne EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Rouen EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aubagne
2-1
AWAY Rouen
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aubagne vs Rouen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubagne nicked a narrow win over Rouen 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rouen at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aubagne had 47% of the ball to Rouen's 53%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Aubagne vs Rouen?

Aubagne 2-1 Rouen in the France - National League 1 on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Rouen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 24%, draw 27%, Rouen 49%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rouen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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