Le Mans FC 0-0 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 28% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.56
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
17%
4.17
X/2
7%
7.84
X/X
10%
4.55
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
13%
6.17
2/X
8%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.53/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.22
-4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
403 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Villefranche
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
27.02.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 0-4 HT 0-3 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
24.11.2023 Villefranche Villefranche 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
19.05.2023 Villefranche Villefranche 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
13.01.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
15.04.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Mans FC
0-0
AWAY Villefranche
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Le Mans FC vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC and Villefranche fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Le Mans FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Le Mans FC had 57% of the ball to Villefranche's 43%, shots finished 19-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villefranche led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Le Mans FC and 1.00 for Villefranche.

What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Villefranche?

Le Mans FC 0-0 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 44%, draw 28%, Villefranche 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Le Mans FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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