Nimes 1-0 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.81
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.53
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
16%
4.9
X/2
10%
5.87
X/X
8%
3.82
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
17%
4.55
2/X
11%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nimes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.34/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.11
+3% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nimes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chateauroux
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 Passes 242
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.02.2024 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-1 HT 0-0 Nimes Nimes FR3
08.09.2023 Nimes Nimes 2-2 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
20.01.2018 Nimes Nimes 3-0 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
21.08.2017 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-0 HT 0-0 Nimes Nimes FR2
09.08.2016 Nimes Nimes 1-1 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FRLK
27.02.2015 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-1 HT 2-0 Nimes Nimes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nimes
1-0
AWAY Chateauroux
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nimes vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nimes edged past Chateauroux 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Nimes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nimes had 55% of the ball to Chateauroux's 45%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nimes and 1.00 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Nimes vs Chateauroux?

Nimes 1-0 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nimes vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nimes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nimes 37%, draw 28%, Chateauroux 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nimes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nimes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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