Chateauroux 0-1 Nimes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.15
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.68
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.2
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
10%
4.4
X/2
8%
6.44
X/X
21%
3.45
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
13%
5.47
2/X
9%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.6pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.8pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nimes EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.11/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.04
-15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nimes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
242 Passes 359
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2023 Nimes Nimes 2-2 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
20.01.2018 Nimes Nimes 3-0 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
21.08.2017 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-0 HT 0-0 Nimes Nimes FR2
09.08.2016 Nimes Nimes 1-1 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FRLK
27.02.2015 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-1 HT 2-0 Nimes Nimes FR2
23.09.2014 Nimes Nimes 1-0 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Nimes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nimes nicked a narrow win over Chateauroux 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 35% / 26% — and on the day Nimes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chateauroux and 1.33 for Nimes.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Nimes?

Chateauroux 0-1 Nimes in the France - National League 1 on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Nimes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chateauroux win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 39%, draw 35%, Nimes 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chateauroux) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chateauroux) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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