Avranches 1-0 Versailles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
4.23
6+ Goals
10%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.61
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
14%
6.06
X/2
15%
4.73
X/X
10%
4.07
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
19%
3.25
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.7pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.5pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avranches EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Versailles EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.21/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.42
+5% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avranches
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Versailles
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Versailles Versailles 1-1 HT 0-0 Avranches Avranches FR3
19.05.2023 Versailles Versailles 0-3 HT 0-1 Avranches Avranches FR3
13.01.2023 Avranches Avranches 1-3 HT 0-2 Versailles Versailles FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avranches
1-0
AWAY Versailles
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avranches vs Versailles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avranches nicked a narrow win over Versailles 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 39% — and on the day Avranches made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Avranches had 44% of the ball to Versailles's 56%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Avranches and 1.33 for Versailles.

What was the final score of Avranches vs Versailles?

Avranches 1-0 Versailles in the France - National League 1 on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avranches vs Versailles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Versailles win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Avranches 38%, draw 22%, Versailles 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Versailles) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Versailles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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