Cholet 1-1 Niort — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 Feb 2024

Cholet
1-1 HT 1-1
Niort
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Cholet vs Niort Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
53%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.15
6+ Goals
10%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 31% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
7.57
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
4%
16.3
X/1
9%
8.98
X/2
15%
3.75
X/X
17%
4.49
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
30%
2.26
2/X
8%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
21%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cholet v Niort — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cholet EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Niort EU Bookmakers 58%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards –

Cholet vs Niort Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cholet
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Niort
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
08.09.2023 Niort Niort 2-0 HT 0-0 Cholet Cholet FR3
06.07.2019 Niort Niort 1-3 HT 0-1 Cholet Cholet HAZ
POST-MATCH Cholet vs Niort
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cholet and Niort couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Niort at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cholet and 1.50 for Niort.

What was the final score of Cholet vs Niort?

Cholet 1-1 Niort in the France - National League 1 on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cholet vs Niort?

Before kick-off our model rated an Niort win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cholet 19%, draw 28%, Niort 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Niort), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Niort) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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