16/02/2024
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Martigues vs Monts dOr Azergues Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
29%
Draw
28%
27%
Away Win
23%
58%
Under 2.5
60%
42%
Over 2.5
40%
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
54%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Martigues v Monts dOr Azergues — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Martigues
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Monts dOr Azergues
EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-8% /
-8%
1.51/0.96
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.01/1.01
-2%
/
-6%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-4%
/
+31%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
340 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
273 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.9
Yellow Cards
2.0
Martigues vs Monts dOr Azergues Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Martigues
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Monts dOr Azergues
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
50%
Ball Possession
50%
8
Total Shots
4
4
Shots on Target
1
3
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
08.09.2023
Monts dOr Azergues
0-0
HT 0-0
Martigues
FR3
0-0
HT 0-0
Martigues
FR3
POST-MATCH
Martigues vs Monts dOr Azergues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Martigues cruised past Monts dOr Azergues 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Martigues as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Martigues vs Monts dOr Azergues?
Martigues 3-0 Monts dOr Azergues in the France - National League 1 on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Martigues vs Monts dOr Azergues?
Before kick-off our model rated a Martigues win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Martigues 44%, draw 29%, Monts dOr Azergues 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Martigues), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Martigues)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FR3
More France - National League 1
16 Feb 2024