Nancy 4-1 Marignane GCB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.49
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.65
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.59
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.8
X/1
12%
3.97
X/2
10%
7.67
X/X
13%
4.04
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
9%
6.48
2/X
7%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Marignane GCB EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.35/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.48
-13% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Marignane GCB
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.09.2023 Marignane GCB Marignane GCB 1-1 HT 1-1 Nancy Nancy FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
4-1
AWAY Marignane GCB
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Marignane GCB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy cruised past Marignane GCB 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nancy as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nancy had 48% of the ball to Marignane GCB's 52%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Marignane GCB?

Nancy 4-1 Marignane GCB in the France - National League 1 on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Marignane GCB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nancy 46%, draw 28%, Marignane GCB 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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